By Sandrine Paillard, Sébastien Treyer, Bruno Dorin
How will the realm be ready to feed with regards to nine billion humans in 2050 and nonetheless hold the ecosystems? during this point of view, INRA and CIRAD introduced the initiative, in 2006, to improve a foresight venture for analysing concerns concerning the world's nutrients and agricultural platforms at the 2050 timeline. This publication offers a man-made presentation of the most conclusions that this foresight venture has yielded. First, it recapitulates the most statistical references for the interval 1961 to 2003, prior to occurring to explain the Agribiom simulation software used to calculate nutrition biomass source use balances. eventualities at the 2050 timeline are then thought of: Agrimonde cross is a trend-based state of affairs that bets on monetary progress to feed the realm, in a context the place environmental safety isn't a concern; against this, the assumption in Agrimonde 1 is to feed the area whereas conserving its ecosystems.
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Additional resources for Agrimonde – Scenarios and Challenges for Feeding the World in 2050
5). Long-term simulations of animal production, with a fixed coefficient for this production factor only (cereals and oilcakes, mostly), therefore present limits that the second stage (animal production functions) aims to transcend. Regional Animal Production Functions In microeconomics, a production function expresses the relationship between the inputs used by a firm and its production. It indicates, in the form of an equation or graph, what the firm can produce, based on various quantities and combinations of 28 Fig.
The same applies to most of our series. Between 1961 and 2003, the earth’s surface area did not change—unlike the number of countries and their borders. In the FAOSTAT series, over 250 geographical units have been recorded over the past four decades. 241), after excluding a large number of islands and micro-states for which very little or highly irregular data were available, as well as some larger areas with the same lack of reliable statistics: Afghanistan, Antarctica, Bhutan, Iraq, Oman, Papua New Guinea, Western Sahara, and Somalia4.
L. Cotty • aquatic products (plant or animal), divided into freshwater products (aqua) and marine products (mari). g. g. ). ), and so on23. The second particularity of our resource-use balances is that we use food calories (kcal) as a common unit of volume for consumption, production and trade of biomass. All food biomass provides energy for humans. This amount of energy, per gram or kilogram of product ingested, is particularly high with plant or animal oils and fats, and particularly low with fresh produce such as citrus fruit, tomatoes, shellfish, and tropical products such as tea, coffee or pineapples.